Le Monde diplomatique
-----------------------------------------------------
September 2006
INTERNET AMATEURS CHALLENGE THE OFFICIAL ACCOUNT
A tangled web
___________________________________________________________
The net is the perfect medium for counter-information, analysing
available data on the 11 September attacks, challenging official
findings on the events and exploiting conspiracy theories.
by
Pascal Lardellier
___________________________________________________________
MEDIA coverage of the events of 11 September 2001 had to deal
with an unexpected newcomer: the internet. But is the net a
new medium or is it a counter-medium? We have to ask that
question because the internet has encouraged circulation of a
different type of information, while the conventional media
relayed the standard version of the events as gospel,
repeatedly showing nightmare images accompanied by a familiar
institutional commentary, given by cohorts of pontificating
experts.
Now, information highways are a spaghetti junction of
alternative routes easily accessible to anyone who wants to
get away from the main routes of the politically correct and
ethnocentric, and that egress is often a good thing. Yet the
digital counter-information saturating the net seems to be
produced by some new version of the old socialist
International organisations: internet users who want to
spread the word about their findings or feelings, perhaps
about 9/11. Their output spreads wide and loud, as the
internet's characteristic viral circulation has amplified the
old word of mouth into unprecedented resonance. Electronic
mail circulates files continuously, and can reach hundreds of
contacts with a single mouse click.
The meeting between relatively new technology and the
historic disaster of 9/11 coincided with the emergence of
blogs, those sites where people are at electronic liberty to
air own views. While in internet chat rooms there are no
holds barred over challenging partisan official versions,
adducing technical, economic or political arguments in
support (1).
The net is a powerful tool that allows us to escape our
hang-ups. Everyone who surfs can take part in the debate
(often anonymously, which is also significant). They get
involved in information in the making. Some might be
over-zealous in their search for the truth. It is easy to
take shortcuts when interpreting numerical data of no fixed
abode or to consider the net an open outlet: catharsis is
inherent in the venting of resentment.
The net offers a lack of intermediaries, a total freedom of
speech and instant access to all kinds of information via a
few keywords. As scepticism of traditional media deepens,
since they are always ready to perpetuate the system and back
its adherents, the democratic and socially aware utopia of
the net becomes the providential meeting-place of the
anonymous, and also of dissenters and sceptics.
The 9/11 frenzy
One reaction to 9/11 was a furious media gun battle among
practical jokers and conspirators, in which anything went and
the first to click gained an advantage in disseminating his
"truth". In the interval between the collapse of the first
World Trade Centre tower and that of the second, several
domain names linked to the event were registered. That
suggests either an extraordinarily cynical entrepreneurial
spirit or the desire to take refuge in the virtual world at a
time of disaster.
There was also an on-line explosion of doubtful jokes,
fantasy claims, images parodying the tragedy, summary
counter-investigations and simplistic attempts to show the
world in black and white; the pseudo-scientific vied with the
irrational. For the most part the fantastic stories were read
with amusement only by surfers who enjoy these digital
dalliances. But a few things went further.
The most important was the Meyssan affair. After a skilful
pre-publication promotion campaign on the net, the book 9/11:
The Big Lie (2) was published in France. Its author, Thierry
Meyssan, claimed that a US missile and not a hijacked
passenger jet hit the Pentagon. The rumour rapidly spread and
was taken up by many elements in the media; although they
criticised Meyssan, their coverage boosted the book's
visibility and sales.
At the same time, many websites were launched which made
similar claims after analysing the same available images and
promoted a conspiracy theory. The basic allegation was that
the US secret services had fomented the events of 9/11 in an
effort to provoke a mood of emotion and indignation that
would open the way to massive rearmament and a policy of
preemptive war. Meyssan's approach was revisionist in spirit;
it surfed on a wave of scepticism, partly resulting from the
definite advantage that the Bush administration had gained
from the attacks, and it exploited some people's paranoia.
However, obtaining and disseminating information is a process
that has to be learnt: it has rules, including the
verification of sources and facts. Because of the freedom
that the net offers, some virtual investigators believe they
can ignore those constraints. (That is not to say that some
elements of traditional written, broadcast and televised
media do not take the same view; they certainly do, and with
gay abandon.)
Five years after 9/11, the whole furore seemed to be
subsiding into history. Nevertheless, journalists,
researchers, teachers and even politicians are now rightly
questioning the US administration's lack of transparency
about the events and demanding the investigation be reopened.
Their weapon is the net.
Consider Dylan Avery, a young net surfer, who recently
reopened the 9/11 dossier. In a way that recalls the
conspiracy nerds in The X-Files, he produced a film that is
rattling the US. Alone at home with his laptop he made Loose
Change for $2,000: a very professional 80-minute documentary,
easily accessible on the net. It uses the theory of a US
conspiracy to explain the attack on the Pentagon and also,
more audaciously, the attack on the World Trade Centre
itself. Avery has used video documents, archives, audio
extracts and 3D animation to create a fascinating and
troubling document that challenges the official version of
the attacks (3).
Thousands of net users have followed him in scouring the net
for evidence, looking at the videos from the major
broadcasters, the witness statements filed at the time and
re-reading the inquiry reports. All question the scientific
weaknesses of the official theory. Setting aside whether such
review is relevant, we have to allow that it takes courage to
raise the issue in the US against the backdrop of the Patriot
Act.
How reliable are these documentaries? Rumour specialist
Pascal Froissart said: "Aesthetically, they are superb:
wonderful images, perfect narrative, with new twists every
three minutes or three pages, stars in action . . . It's
tremendously effective and more like the SAS, OSS-117 or
James Bond than the Warren Commission report (4). The
intention is less getting at the truth than producing
spectacle. Is it for us to judge the substance? Despite the
million pages processed, I have no knowledge of pyrotechnics,
terrorism-ology or ballistics."
These are the subjects on which (often pseudo) experts
theorise, and how can you take part in inevitably technical
debates without the necessary knowledge? How can we have
faith in the UVOs (unidentified video objects) constantly
encountered on the net when we know how easy it is to
manipulate images, especially digital images? All the
theories founder on this.
They also play on the fears of a time when people have lost
their points of reference, and major concerns about health,
climate, the economy and politics are unsettling a public
that already feels disoriented.
________________________________________________________
(1) See Divina Frau-Meigs, Qui a détourné le 11 septembre?,
De Boeck, Brussels, 2006.
(2) First published as L'Effroyable Imposture, Carnot, Paris,
2002; in English, 9/11: The Big Lie, Carnot Publishing,
London, 2002.
(3) Other documentaries are being produced, less accomplished
than Avery's, although they all challenge the official
version. They include Secret Evil of 9/11, 9/11 Eyewitness,
Reopen 9/11 and The Great Conspiracy. Their audience is on
the net.
(4) The Warren commission. set up to investigate the
circumstances surrounding the assassination of John F Kennedy
in November 1963, dismissed the theory of a conspiracy in
favour of the much criticised idea of "the lone gunman", Lee
Harvey Oswald.
Pascal Lardellier teaches at the University of Bourgogne; his
most recent books are `Le Pouce et la souris' (Fayard, Paris,
2006) and `11 septembre 2001: Que faisiez-vous ce jour-là ?'
(L'Hèbe, Lausanne, September 2006)
Translated by
Julie Stoker
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Le Monde diplomatique
-----------------------------------------------------
September 2006
A WORLD OF CONFLICT SINCE 9/11
Iraq's diverse Shia
___________________________________________________________
It takes more than religion to form a homogeneous whole at a
regional or national level as demonstrated by the internal
divisions within Iraq's Shia community. Their loyalties are
unpredictable.
by Peter Harling and
Hamid Yasin
___________________________________________________________
EVERY day in Iraq brings more sectarian violence between
Sunni and Shia factions. Such attacks have become routine
events, killing dozens of people and injuring hundreds. They
are now much more frequent than operations targeting the
occupation forces. In Baghdad the river Tigris forms a
dividing line between the largely Shia left bank, al-Rusafa,
and the mainly Sunni right bank, al-Karkh.
There are certainly large enclaves on both sides, especially
the districts of major religious significance, the Shia
al-Kadhimiya and the Sunni al-Adhamiya. But the process of
polarisation, with the emergence of genuine front lines,
"presages increasingly violent and well-organised fighting",
according to a representative of the Sunni Jeish Ansar
al-Sunna armed group (1).
Inside Iraq and abroad the predominant view is that two
communities are competing for power: Sunni Arabs, supposedly
loyal to the previous regime, who have lost their
longstanding monopoly of central government; and Shia Arabs,
traditionally excluded from politics, for whom the allied
invasion seemed a historic chance to gain the influence they
deserve as the demographic majority.
This view has the advantage of being straightforward, but it
overlooks the multiple objectives pursued by the various
players in the Iraqi political arena. Above all it helps to
maintain a dynamic that needs to be checked rather than
encouraged, reducing to their lowest common denominator
communities that are in fact highly diverse (2).
The temptation to see the Shia as a homogeneous community is
perceptible in the current debate on whether Shia loyalties
are restricted to Iraq or may be offered to Iran. In December
2004 King Abdullah of Jordan warned of an emerging "Shia
crescent" and presented the Shia communities in the Gulf,
Iraq, Syria and Lebanon as a fifth column that was controlled
by Tehran and threatened Sunni interests.
Egypt's Hosni Mubarak went further, claiming that
historically the Shia of the Arab world had shown greater
loyalty to Iran than to their home countries. Noted academics
have turned such generalisations into a theory. Vali Nasr, a
leading US expert on Islam, believes the Shia victory in the
Iraqi election last year will remobilise all the Shia in the
region, promoting common demands and identity, which in turn
will serve Iranian interests (3).
Another school of thought rejects this analysis, maintaining
that Iraqi nationalism will prove a much stronger force. One
experienced Iranian observer said: "Solidarity between Shia
groups will not transcend the basic division separating Arabs
and Persians. Everyone seems to have forgotten that the Iraqi
Shia fought their Iranian counterparts for eight long years
during the Iran-Iraq war, the bloodiest conflict of the
second half of the 20th century. The information we are
getting from Iraq suggests that Iraqis, even those who lived
in exile in Iran, do not welcome Iranian influence in their
country."
This is an important debate. The resurgent Shia theory tends
to influence policies adopted by the United States, Arab
regimes and particularly Gulf monarchies, which see any
Iranian ambition as inevitably hostile. The theory fuels
hatred of the Shia, which is becoming widespread in Sunni
circles, regardless of their politics. Few Sunni preachers in
Iraq now refrain from referring to the Shia as rawafidh
(heretics), a pejorative term which has long been associated
with jihadists such as Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, who was the
leader of al-Qaida in Iraq until his recent death.
Not just nationalism
Alhough nationalism is a factor to be taken into account, it
is not enough to explain the behaviour of Iraqi Shia during
the war with Iran. At the time the process of nation-building
that had started in the first half of the 20th century still
held some promise. In the 1970s the Ba'athist regime was
actively re-allocating resources to Iraq's south, and this
was reflected in the large numbers of police and army
recruits contributed by such towns as Diwaniya or Nasiriya.
Farmers welcomed the extensive agrarian reform initiated in
the wake of the coup and the regime's progressive policies
won the support of many poor Shia.
However, the regime's totalitarian methods led to the
disappearance of the religious communities in Najaf and the
elimination of rival political forces, particularly communism
and Islamism. A people's army more than 500,000-strong was a
far from negligible factor in mobilising the Shia against
Iran.
The turning point came with the first Gulf war in 1991 and
the revolts that followed, heralding a period of increasing
differentiation in collective identities. Kurdistan achieved
a measure of independence and began to flourish after the
civil war, at least economically. Elsewhere the model of a
provident government based on patronage was dropped, and
replaced by a predatory economy rooted in privilege, family
networks and blind loyalty to the regime.
This change particularly affected members of the Shia
community -- officials, soldiers and small traders -- who had
benefited the most from the opportunities for social
advancement offered by the regime. It also affected Sunni
Arabs and Christians, although they generally found it easier
to access resources thanks to family networks in Iraq or
abroad.
In the south a policy of economic reprisals against Shia
localities involved in the 1991 uprising aggravated the
deepening poverty. But the idea of a martyred "Shia
community" only really gained credence after the collapse of
the Saddam regime in 2003, which was described by many as the
overthrow of Sunni power. Under the political process
initiated by the US administration, sectarian considerations
governed the allocation of jobs, leading to competition
between victims. Each party based its claims to a share of
power on the scale of the suffering it had endured.
Supporters of the Supreme Assembly of the Islamic Revolution
in Iraq (Sairi), led by Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, drew attention
to the number of anti-Saddam martyrs in his family and his
key role in the 1991 insurrection. Militants loyal to Moqtada
al-Sadr accused the Sairi supporters of having chosen to go
into exile, having tortured Iraqi prisoners of war on behalf
of the Iranians and having abandoned the rebels in 1991 by
retreating too soon to Iran. Sairi responded with accusations
that al-Sadr supporters had served the interests of the
regime and provided it with many informers.
The rewriting of Iraqi history to allow for a Sunni-Shia
dichotomy dispelled any idea of Iraqi nationalism. Iraqis of
different origins have lost the points of reference they once
shared. The key events of the recent past, such as the end of
the monarchy in 1958, the Ba'ath takeover in 1968, the first
Gulf war of 1991 or the Anglo-American intervention of 2003,
are now giving rise to bitter disputes reflecting sectarian
divisions.
There is no longer any attempt to redistribute national
resources. Everyone is shamelessly trying to corner them for
their own ends, with public bodies being broken up and
privatised under the control of specific groups. People still
say Iraq will surmount its divisions, but it is no longer
clear what its national identity means. In practice, the
arbitrary violence, nepotism and unprecedented corruption all
demonstrate how important non-national loyalties have become.
Nevertheless this does not mean that Iran is the nation, by
default or by adoption, to which Iraqi Shia turn. People in
the south still have mixed feelings about their "Persian"
neighbours. Al-Sadr exploits the Iranian origins of Ayatollah
Ali al-Sistani in order to criticise him. The citizens of the
town of al-Amara refer to their Kut counterparts as
"Persians", which they consider a contemptuous term.
Portraits of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and his successor,
Ali Khamenei, are seen more often, but few Shia politicians
recognise the Iranian concept of velayat-e faqih
(guardianship of jurisprudence), which is a pillar of the
Islamic Republic. Statements by al-Sistani about his Iranian
counterparts have always been diplomatic, carefully staying
within certain limits, yet firmly independent. Indeed he
seems to rank more highly in Iran than its own supreme
leader, Khamenei, when it comes to the interpretation of the
holy scriptures.
Iran is playing its hand in Iraq with great subtlety,
spreading its influence through many channels. Tehran has
encouraged its allies to take part in the political process,
the better to direct it. But it has also sought to establish
links with all the political players, including al-Sadr, the
sworn enemy of its ally, Sairi.
At a local level Iran sponsors smaller groups, such as Tha'r
Allah in Basra, without exposing itself directly. It has
given only limited support to attacks against the coalition,
and held back from providing insurgents with the anti-tank
weapons that Hizbullah has received in Lebanon. The Khamenei
establishment provides scholarships and books in Najaf. The
high standard of reporting on the Iranian satellite
television channel al-Alam has won a large audience among
Iraqi Shia.
The Islamic Republic of Iran has also made good use of
humanitarian work and economic investment to create a
positive image for itself. Unlike the Gulf emirates, it
welcomes tourists and pilgrims. Its comparative prosperity
and tranquillity has made a big impression, revealing a more
friendly and open country than many expected.
Surprisingly, Iran's strategy is not based on a sense of
allegiance but on its understanding of the Shia, whose
diversity it recognises, along with their different
collective identities. Iran realises that there is a deep
social divide between conservative Shia (the religious
community in Najaf, traders in the holy cities, urban middle
classes) and the "revolutionary" masses who support
al-Sadr (4).
Each of the southern towns has specific characteristics and
problems. Kut is a small provincial centre that distances
itself from the devolutionary demands of much of the south.
Various groups are keen to command the holy city of Najaf,
currently controlled by Sistani and Sairi. In Basra, several
Islamist parties and their militias are struggling to gain
control of resources, especially contraband oil.
The further you get from Baghdad, where confrontation between
the Sunni and Shia communities makes it easier for each side
to maintain a semblance of unity, the more the potential for
violence between Shia groups becomes apparent. This is in
stark contrast to the constant talk of reform and new
initiatives in the capital.
________________________________________________________
(1) For an analysis of the main armed opposition groups, see
International Crisis Group, "In their own words", Middle East
Report, n� 50, Washington, 15 February 2006.
(2) See Ahmad Salamatian, "Arab spring: late and cold", Le
Monde diplomatique, English language edition, July 2005.
(3) Vali Nasr, "When the Shiites rise", Foreign Affairs, vol
85, n� 4, New York, July-August 2006.
(4) International Crisis Group, "Iraq's Moqtada al-Sadr",
Middle East Report, no 55, Washington, 11 July 2006.
Peter Harling is responsible for Iraq, Syria and Lebanon at
the International Crisis Group and Hamid Yasin is preparing a
doctoral thesis at the Paris Institute of Political Science
Translated by Harry Forster
******************************************************************************************
+
When Hezbollah operative and diamond trader Samih Ossailly was arrested in
Belgium in April of 2002, one of the items found in a search of his apartment
was an End-Use Certificate (EUC) for a shipment of 113 tons of arms from the
Ukraine to the Ivory Coast. So what was an Israeli arms dealer doing in
possession of an identical EUC? The answer is convoluted but revealing. Ready?
The story begins with Al Qaeda diamonds. Shortly after the bombing of US
embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the US began aggressively searching for ways to
disrupt Al Qaeda's financing. In 1998 the Clinton Administration succeeded in
freezing some $240 million in assets belonging to either Al Qaeda or the
Taliban. This led Al Qaeda to restructure its finances. Since Afghanistan was
mineral rich yet had no regulating authority, both the Taliban, along with its
allies, and the Northern Alliance gained experience in trading gemstones for
arms, and to fund their political operations. Civil war-torn Sierra Leone and
the endemic corruption in Liberia provided perfect conditions for Al Qaeda
operatives to do the same providing they had a way to enter the area. Luckily
they had an old friend in Ibrahim Bah.
Long before his current trial in The Hague for war crimes, former Liberian
President Charles Taylor underwent training in Libya under Bah, a Senegalese
national and ex-Mujahadeen/ex-Hezbollah. Upon his return to Liberia in 1989,
Taylor led a rebellion which eventually led to his 1997 election and ensuing
dictatorship. Taylor bestowed upon Bah the rank of general in the
Revolutionary United Front (RUF), a rebel group backed by Taylor that was
seeking power in Sierra Leone, infamous for amputating the limbs of
noncombatants. The RUF launched its civil war in 1991 with Bah as the official
arms and diamonds broker for both the RUF and Taylor. The violence generated
by Taylor in both Liberia and Sierra Leone led the United Nations to establish
an arms embargo on Liberia in 1992 and in 1997 against Sierra Leone, followed by
an embargo of West African "blood diamonds" that financed the violence.
In January of 2006, retired Israeli Defense Forces Colonel Yair Klein was
invited to Liberia by Simon Rosenblum, an Israeli businessman formerly based in
Abdijan, Ivory Coast. During Taylor's reign, Rosenblum was a member of his
inner circle. He carried a Liberian diplomatic passport, owned logging and road
constructions interests in Liberia and his trucks were used to carry weapons
from Liberia to the border with Sierra Leone. Klein arrived in Liberia after
Taylor had been deposed, but when his presence became known he was forced to
flee the country, and with good reason. From 1996 until 1999, Klein provided
material and training to Liberia's Anti-Terrorism Unit and, in violation of the
UN embargo, to the RUF as part of a diamonds-for-arms operation involving Klein
and two other Israelis, Dov Katz and Dan Gertler. In January of 1999 Klein was
arrested in Sierra Leone on charges of smuggling arms to the RUF. Those
transactions went through Bah, the "gatekeeper" for such dealings in the RUF-controlled
territory as well as being an Al Qaeda businessman.
Klein's Anti-Terrorism Unit, a group widely criticized for gross abuses of human
rights, was headed by "Chuckie" Taylor, the president's son, but Klein and
Rosenblum weren't the only Israelis involved with the Taylors and Bah. Along
with the $500,000 worth of diamonds in his possession, in a briefcase searched
upon his August, 2000 arrest in Italy, Leonid Minin, a Ukrainian-born Israeli
member of the "Odessa Mafia," was found to be in possession of correspondence
detailing his sale to the Liberian government of millions of dollars worth of
arms in exchange for diamonds and timber concessions. Minin had extensive
dealings with Bah, but perhaps the most interesting item found in Minin's
briefcase was that End-Use-Certificate for 113 tons of ammunition and arms that
exactly matched the End-Use-Certificate found in the apartment of Hezbollah
operative Samih Ossailly.
Hezbollah has a long history of diamond trading in Sierra Leone, Liberia and
other West African countries. Samih Ossailly and Aziz Nassour, Hezbollah
operatives who also provided services for Al Qaeda diamond merchants, stand out
in particular as traders. When Al Qaeda approached Bah for an "in" to diamond
trading in Liberia and Sierra Leone, Bah went to Nassour for help.
Hezbollah's activity in diamond trading has mostly been limited to Sierra Leone,
Liberia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Israel, too, has long
had ties in the area. Back in 1983, Israel was contracted to train and equip
Mobutu Sese Seko's presidential guard, the notorious
Division Speciale Presidentielle. It
was during this time that Shimon Yelnik, an Israeli army officer in charge of
Seko's presidential guard, became acquainted with Aziz Nassour. About a decade
later, in late 2000, when Nassour needed arms to ensure his continued diamond
enterprises in Liberia and Sierra Leone, he contacted his Yelnik, by then
brokering arms in Panama, as revealed in an investigation by the Organization of
American States into Yelnik's involvement with Columbian paramilitaries. The
investigation also uncovered faxes between Bah and Yelnik and attempts to both
avoid and make fraudulent End-Use Certificates in order to break the UN arms
embargo. Investigative journalist Douglas Farah quotes one European
intelligence agent as saying, "The likelihood these types of weapons were going
to the RUF rebels in the bush is very hard to believe," leading to speculation
that the weapons were actually destined for the Taliban in Afghanistan. The
contact between Israeli diamond dealers, extending beyond Sierra Leone and
Liberia to the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Angola, and their
counterparts in Hezbollah and Al Qaeda is well summed up by Farah in his book
Blood from Stones:
An Israeli diamond dealer, who regularly did business with buyers he knew were Hezbollah and some he suspected were Al Qaeda, agreed. "Here it is business," he said. "The wars are over there. Here we do business, there they do war."
This picture that emerges from these relationships is not only one of war
crimes, profiteering, massive environmental destruction, corruption and greed,
but one of Israelis, Hezbollah and Al Qaeda all working together in mutually
profitable enterprises, regardless of principle or ideology. With nationals or
operatives of all three known to be operating in the region still today, it
remains to be seen if such relationships continue.
Jimmy Johnson is a researcher on Israel's arms
exports with the Israeli Committee Against House Demolitions. He can be reached
at jimmy@icahd.org
--
Israeli Committee Against House Demolitions
PO Box 2030
91020 Jerusalem
Israel
Office: 972 (0)2 624 5560
Fax: 972 (0)2 622 1530
info@icahd.org
http://www.icahd.org
****
كنعان النشرة الألكترونية
KanaÂ’an e-Bulletin
Volume VI – Issue 936 10 September 2006
Neither Dismantling Nor a Political Role for the PA:
National Unity without Political Government
Adel Samara
http://www.kanaanonline.org/articles/00936.pdf
The political irony in the West Bank and Gaza (WBG) is quite unique: while Israel is launching war against the people, especially in Gaza, most of the Palestinian political organizations are deeply busy in political maneuvers and compromise over the creation of a government of national unity (GNU).
Recently, the leadership of Fateh decided to participate in a GNU with Hamas, which means that all Palestinian organizations, except al-Jihad al-Islami (Islamic Jihad), agreed to work under the umbrella of the Oslo Accords. It makes no difference whether they declare their loyalty to these Accords or not.
However, is a Palestinian GNU politically possible?
In other words, is there a common Palestinian national project that enjoys the consensus of all political groups, or what they really have are various political groups, each with its own political project, i.e. a national project, another Islamic, secular, liberal, and even NGO-based (NGO-ised) projects?
What we see at present is that there is no common project for all Palestinian groups. However, there is one political project that can unify all these organizations, if they accept it, and that is the Oslo Accords. Since many people pretend that Oslo Accords have died, and to facilitate the discussion, let's call the Oslo Accords the project of the political compromise. The parties which impose the siege against the Hamas government, especially the financial siege, prove that Oslo project still works and that it is even renewing itself. The financial siege is just another wall, like the cement wall that Israel is building around Palestinian villages and towns. Briefly speaking, as long as the number of organizations who accept Oslo is on the rise, the Oslo project gains more strength. This maybe not a pleasant picture, but is, nevertheless, real.
So long as the GNU is a government that is designed on the basis of the Oslo Accords, then its determinant factors and its success are conditioned by the will and acceptance of those who designed Oslo. And so long as the Palestinian political action is under occupation, then all titles and positions do mean have real meanings, i.e. president, minister, legislative councilÂ…etc.
If Palestinian organizations succeed in forming a GNU, will this then make any change in the Israeli policies toward the PA areas, (i.e. will it minimize its open aggression or stop the ‘financial wall’, or terminate the concrete wall…etc)?
The only way to influence and change the policies of Israeli occupation is resistance, not a government under the Oslo Accords. In addition, a change in the Arab position towards occupation might help the Palestinians as well.
The experience of Oslo proves that the political role of the Palestinian Authority (PA) will never serve the Palestinian cause, but achieve the opposite and benefit Israel, which means that the political role of the PA is useless and destructive. It is a role of viscous negotiations and endless compromise. This is demonstrated in the daily killing of Palestinian citizens, arresting their ministers; PMÂ’s including the president of the legislative council!
If Israel is able to arrest any Palestinian official, is this official in a position to negotiate with Israel on equal basis?
Dissolving the PA or ‘Positioning’ it properly?
The discussion above turns us back to the repeated arguments made by many Palestinians: to dissolve the PA, on one hand, and the counter argument which pretends that the occupation wants to dissolve the PA, but is unable and therefore Palestinians shouldn't offer the PA dissolution on a silver platter to the Israeli occupation.
I think that the issue is neither one mentioned. Practically, the PA has created around itself a huge bureaucratic apparatus (vertical and polar) that is either dependent on the PA or using it for their business and corruption. The number of those employed by the PA apparatus is about 160,000. Estimating that each of them provides for a family of five, then the simple mathematics will tell us that nearly one third of the Palestinian population ‘survive’ from their relationship/employment with the PA. For them the dissolution of the PA means the termination of their source of income. This became clear following the financial siege against the Hamas government.
In other words, the PA has been deeply rooted to the extent that its dissolution might create a big problem. On the other hand, the Israeli occupation never felt that the PA does not serve its interests, and that is why the it’s (the occupation) insists on maintaining it. Israel had never gained from any political ‘deal’ as much as it gained (and continues to gain) from Oslo Accords.
It might be that the best way today is to apply popular pressure on the PA to act according to two things:
- the interests of all Palestinian people;
- according to the real mandate delegated to it by the designers of Oslo Accords, i.e. those whose goal is peace for capital.
The PA should be humble at least to the extent of its real power and not to its pretence or wishes, and to announce frankly that the PA never was and never will be developed to an authority of souvereignty. But as long as this form of authority and other political organizations as well do not practice self-criticism, it might be enough for the PA to say: Well, we tried, but we failed to achieve the national interests of the Palestinian people. Accordingly, we will delegate the negotiations to the PLO outside the WBG and will limit ourselves to local, administrative, economic, and daily affairs of the Palestinians inside the WBG.
In such a situation, Hamas must become part of PLO, particularly since the ‘new’ or ‘renewed’ PLO will be working far from terms of the Oslo Accords. In this scenario, it is possible to build a national unity in PLO and the same goes for the local national unity administration which will essentially operate services (such as education, development…etc), i.e. a real, but no more, than a self-rule. This new scenario will save the price of dissolving the PA, and at the same time, it will stop the continuous national deterioration in WBG.
There is no doubt that Israel will resist this step by all means, since it will be the main loser, and the same for the United States. But this is the ‘minimum’ of the Palestinian national struggle.
There must be two divisions of labor at the political level:
First: The national rights of the Palestinian people will be transferred to the PLO that will also be in charge of political negotiations. In this situation, the PA must be governed by the PLO, and not the other way around as has been the case since the signing of the Oslo Accords (1993). At the Arab national level, the new PLO must coordinate with the Arab forces which resist global capitalist domination. Briefly, this step is the de-linking between the political role and the representation of the PA.
Second: the groups which practice military struggle must turn to a total underground model. This will make it harder for the occupation to chase them which will save the lives of the political leaders who are always under the threat of assassination by Israel under the pretext that they are leading military groups. This de-linking will, then, liberate the military struggle from political compromise.
Both Fateh and Hamas are against the false alternative, the technocrat government, because it will not be in their hands, but rather in the hands of US and Israel, or at best, it will maneuver between the two organizations to gain power for itself and its allies, the US and Israel.
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