النسخة العربية للاستطلاع تلي الإنكليزية ، أدنى الصفحة

 

استطلاع من د كوكلي وصل إلى موقع الصفصاف


Poll No.151                                                          Date: 26 March 2006

 

 

Dear Madam,

Dear Sir,

 

The target of this survey is to examine the Palestinians' public opinion with regard to the Israeli national elections, Ehud Olmert's plan and the new Palestinian government formed by Hamas. We have furthermore made the attempt to probe the political conditions prevailing after the Israeli raid on Jericho's prison and the abduction of Mr. Ahmed Saadat, the Secretary-General of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), and his companions and to cast light on the extent of Israel's compliance with the deals concluded with the Palestinians. This poll tried furthermore to explore the public's attitude towards Britain and the USA, which is said have allowed Israel to raid Jericho's prison. All this besides other political, economical and security key issues.

 

If you wish to view the whole poll results, so all you need is to revert to our website:  www.pcpo.ps

 

Please feel quite free to contact us immediately if you have any questions or inquiry on any issue of this poll.

 

With our good wishes and best regards,

 

 

 

Dr. Nabil Kukali

Director of PCPO

 

 

In a survey on the Palestinian public opinion prepared by

 Dr. Nabil Kukali

 

(47.2%) Agree to various degrees to the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority, (50.5%) oppose to various degrees the dissolution

             of  the Palestinian Authority

 

(74.4%) Are to various degrees content with the Palestinian government formed by Hamas.

 

(82.4%) Are worried about their personal security.

 

(65.4%) Support to various degrees the PA President Mr. Mahmoud Abbas.

 

(85.5%) Don't trust Israel's commitment to the accords signed with Palestinian Authority.

 

(88.5%) Demand from Britain and the USA to force Israel to return Mr. Ahmed Saadat and his companions to the Palestinian

             Authority.

 

(50.7%) Are opposing to various extents the abduction of foreigners and the destruction of cultural centers belonging to EU

             countries.

 

(18.6%) Believe that the Israeli Labor Party is the most efficient party for the settlement of the Palestinian – Israeli conflict.

 

 (49.4%) Believe that the unilateral plan of Ehud Olmert will lead to the continuation of the conflict in the region.

 

 

Beit Sahour: Information Section

 

 

In the recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil kukali during the period from March )19-23), 2006 and published by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO), a random sample of (1068) Palestinian adults over 18 years old, representing the various demographic specimens of the people living in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, has been investigated.

 

The results of the poll revealed that the majority of the Palestinian people believe that the plan of the acting Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert regarding the unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank by September 2010 without reaching a genuine peace agreement with the Palestinians will lead to the continuation of the conflict in the region and will not warrant the stability and security of Israel. Dr. Kukali commented on this by saying that Israel cannot establish permanent borders with the Palestinian Authority on its own without the approval of the Palestinians. It will be then difficult for Israel to obtain the security and peace unless it fulfills the desires and aspirations of the Palestinian people by achieving a fair peace with them. He added that (18.6%) of the Palestinian society believe that Labor Party is the most efficient party for the settlement of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. One of the most significant findings of this poll, Dr. Kukali found out, that almost the half of the Palestinians, specifically (47.2%) are to various degrees in favor of the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority because it seems that the Palestinian people lost hope that the present Authority will finally lead to the establishment of a Palestinian state side by side to the Jewish one on the basis of the international legitimacy and the principle of land against peace as provided for in the UN resolutions. Dr. Kukali pointed furthermore out that (74.4%) of the Palestinians (59.1%) in Gaza and (84.0%) in the West Bank are to various degrees content with the Palestinian government formed by Hamas without the participation of Fateh and the other PLO's factions.

 

Dr. Kukali believes that the majority of the Palestinians are of the opinion that relying on the political settlements with international warranties seems to be of no real weight on the ground as long as Israel can revoke such settlements or agreements at its own discretion. The poll results have indicated that the majority of the Palestinian public, specifically (63.4%), don’t trust the arguments made by the USA and Britain as a justification for the withdrawal of their monitors from the jail at Jericho and by doing that have given Israel the opportunity to capture the PFLP's Secretary-General, Mr. Ahmed Saadat, and his comrades.

 

Dr. Kukali referred also to the fact that the majority of the Palestinians felt insulted upon watching the satellite TV pictures showing the Palestinian security men captured and humiliated by taking their clothes off and keeping just  the underwear on them. Lastly, Dr. Kukali concluded that the majority of the Palestinians disagree to abducting foreigners and demolishing cultural centers belonging to countries of the European Union and to other countries as a reaction to the US-American and British attitude in the Israeli raid on Jericho's prison and the subsequent abduction of the PFLP Secretary General and his comrades.

 

 

Findings

 

 

Q.1 Do you think that the plan of the acting Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert of the unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank by September 2010 without reaching a genuine peace agreement with the Palestinians will lead to?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1. A warranty for Israel security

26.5%

2. Instability of Israel security

40.8%

3. Outbreak of disputes and continuation of

    wars in the region

31.3%

4. Don't know

1.4%

 

Q.2 What will be, according to your opinion, the impact of the uni-lateral withdrawal of Israel from the West Bank on the Palestinian side? 

 

Response

26 March 2006

1. It will boost the position of Hamas and

    weaken the position of Fateh.

29.8%

2. It will boost the position of Fateh and

    weaken the position of Hamas.

12.2%

3. It will absolutely have no effect.

55.5%

4. Don't know.

2.5%

 

Q.3 What are the consequences, you think, of a unilateral pullout of Israel from the West Bank?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1. The establishment of a Palestinian state and

     the recognition of the State of Israel.

11.7%

2. Extension of the area of the Palestinian

    Authority jurisdiction with-out being obliged

    to recognize the State of Israel.

36.9%

3. Continuation of the conflict in the region.

49.4%

4. Don't know.

2.0%

 

Q.4 Which Israeli party, according to your opinion, is in the position to solve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Kadima

17.6%

2. Likud

14.7%

3.  Labor Party

18.6%

4.  None

48.0%

5.  Don't know

1.1%

 

                    

Q.5 Do you think, or not, that Hamas is capable of efficiently running the Palestinian government for the next term? 

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Yes, capable

24.4%

2.  Capable to some extent

40.4%

3.  Incapable

33.0%

4.  Don't know.

2.2%

 

Q.6 Do you agree or disagree to Fateh's decline to participate in forming a government of national unity after the raid of the    Israeli forces on Jericho's prison? 

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Strongly agree

12.6%

2.  Somewhat agree

42.6%

3.  Somewhat disagree

28.7%

4.  Strongly disagree

15.5%

5.  Don't know

0.6%

 

Q.7 Mr. Azzam El-Ahmed, Head of Fateh group in the Palestinian Legislative Council, said:" We don't demand from Hamas to change its program, but advise it only to separate its program as an authority from its program as a party ".  Do you agree or disagree to this advice? 

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Strongly agree

23.3%

2.  Somewhat agree

51.7%

3.  Somewhat disagree

13.7%

4.  Strongly disagree

10.7%

5.  Don't know

0.6%

 

Q.8 Do you still agree, or now disagree, to the demand of the President of the Palestinian Authority that Hamas should acknowledge the agreements concluded with Israel?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Strongly agree

12.1%

2.  Somewhat agree

34.7%

3.  Somewhat disagree

31.4%

4.  Strongly disagree

21.0%

5.  Don't know

0.8%

 

Q.9 After the formation of the Palestinian government under the leadership of Hamas without the participation of Fateh and the other PLO's factions, are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Pessimistic

36.5%

2.  Optimistic

60.8%

3.  Don't know

2.7%

 

Q.10 Are you content or discontent with the Palestinian government formed by Hamas without the participation of Fateh and the other PLO's factions?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Extremely content

19.6%

2.  Somewhat content

54.8%

3.  Somewhat discontent

15.3%

4.  Extremely discontent

9.6%

5.  Don't know

0.7%

 

Q.11 Do you think the Palestinian Authority should abide by the agreements concluded with Israel, or not? 

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Yes

33.2%

2.  No

62.7%

3.  Don't know

4.1%

 

Q.12 Subsequent to the raid of the Israeli forces on Jericho's prison, to what extent do you trust Israel's commitment to the deals signed with the Palestinian Authority?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Strongly trust

1.6%

2.  Somewhat trust

11.7%

3.  Somewhat distrust

30.5%

4.  Strongly distrust

55.0%

5.  Don't know

1.2%

 

Q.13 Do you agree or disagree to those demands calling upon the President of the Palestinian Authority to dissolve the Palestinian Authority?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Strongly agree

7.1%

2.  Somewhat agree

40.1%

3.  Somewhat disagree

25.1%

4.  Strongly disagree

25.4%

5.  Don't know

2.3%

 

Q.14 To which degree are you convinced of the arguments made by the USA and Britain as a justification for the withdrawal of their monitors at the jail in Jericho?

 

Response

26 March 2006

1.  Totally convinced

1.4%

2.  Somewhat convinced

35.1%

3. Not convinced

63.4%